St. Cloud, MN Weather Forecast
Wednesday, October 7, 2026 2:50 AM
Prepared by Bob Weisman, SCSU Meteorologist and Professor Emeritus
Next Toasty Period Saturday and Saturday Night (Sunday?)
92nd 80-Degree Day High Yesterday
Our dry spell produced highs in the lower 80's in much of central and southern Minnesota (see yesterday's 4 PM CDT NWS WPC North America zoom-in map), including a St. Cloud high of 81 degrees, the 92nd high of at least 80 degrees this warm season. That ties 1988 for the second highest total in St. Cloud records.
Slightly Warmer Than Average Today Through Friday
This morning, we have mostly clear skies once again (see College of DuPage North America clean infrared satellite loop), but the cold front pushing through Minnesota yesterday afternoon has brought in more seasonable air from the Canadian Prairie Provinces. Early this morning, central Minnesota temperatures are in the upper or even middle 40's (see NWS Aviation Weather Center METAR map). Temperatures may end up a few degrees above average today through Friday (highs in the 60's Thursday, near 70 today and Friday; lows in the 40's).
We will have a few more clouds beginning Friday as much warmer air gets pushed over the top of the seasonable air. There will only be a 1 in 5 chance for rain.
Major Western Weekend Storm...
Eventually, a strong low from the southern Alaskan coast (see Pacific mid-tropospheric water vapor loop from Colorado State satellite slider) will push through the Pacific Northwest and approach the Northern Plains. That system will get quite strong and could even pull in moisture from eastern Pacific Hurricane Rachel (click on Pacific tab) (see system at southwestern edge of College of DuPage North America clean infrared satellite loop), so it will produce a lot of western US precipitation. That system will also pull some unseasonably cool air, so it could be a very strong storm.
...Will Produce Major Friday-Saturday Warm-Up (and Perhaps Beyond)
The effect of this system on Minnesota will initially be the potential for near record warm high and low temperatures at least on Saturday. Highs will be in the 80's and lows could remain in the 60's. Whether we will have another shot at record temperatures Sunday will depend on whether the storm pushes far enough eastward through the Canadian Prairie Provinces to pull its cold front through central Minnesota. If the front comes through, much cooler air will push in, knocking temperatures down to much more seasonable levels.
The combination of very warm and still dry air and strong winds will increase the fire potential as long as we stay in the warm air mass. Saturday looks to be a high fire danger day and that could continue into Sunday.
...Then Major Early Week Cool Down (But When?)
Eventually, moisture will stream in on the colder side of the storm, so much of the precipitation in the Northern Rockies and perhaps even Montana shown on Days 4-7 of the NWS WPC quantitative precipitation forecast could fall as snow. That moisture will produce the potential for some cold rain in Minnesota sometime during the first half of next week, but picking which day that would happen is still very uncertain at this point.
It's also uncertain how much of the really cool air will get into Minnesota behind the storm or how long it would last.
September 2026 St. Cloud Weather Summary Available
Our warm September has put St. Cloud in 9th place for the warmest first 9 months of the year (see St. Cloud September 2026 Weather Summary). The 9 days with a high of at least 80 degrees has put 2026's warm season in third place (with 91 days) for the most highs that warm. And, the more frequent rainfall has slightly eased the low lake levels and streamflow in central and north central Minnesota.
Detailed St. Cloud, MN, and Vicinity Forecast
Confidence Level (high): "The Bugs Are Waiting for Me to Mow the Lawn"
Wednesday 10/7/2026: Sunshine through high clouds, windy, and not quite as warm. High: between 68 and 73. Winds: NW 10-20 MPH. Chance of measurable rainfall: 0%.
Wednesday Night: Clear to partly cloudy with diminishing wind and cooler. Some areas of fog late. Low: between 42 and 47. Winds: NW 5-10 MPH evening, NW 5 MPH late at night. Chance of measurable rainfall: 0%.
Thursday 10/8/2026: Sunshine through high and middle clouds, less windy, and not quite as warm. High: between 62 and 67. Winds: W 8-15 MPH. Chance of measurable rainfall: 10%.
Thursday Night: Partly to mostly cloudy and a shade milder. Low: between 45 and 50. Winds: S-SE 5 MPH. Chance of measurable rainfall: 10%.
Friday 10/9/2026: Sunshine mixed with clouds with a slight chance of a shower and even warmer. High: between 70 and 75. Winds: SE 8-15 MPH. Chance of measurable rainfall: 20%.
Friday Night: Partly clear and windy with summer-like warmth. Low: between 55 and 60 evening, rising into the 60's during the early morning hours. (record warm low: 57 in 1930, 1947, 1984, 2003). Winds: SE 8-18 MPH, shifting to SW 10-20 MPH late. Chance of measurable rainfall: 10%.
Saturday 10/10/2026: Mostly sunny and blustery with near record warmth. High: between 80 and 85 (record warm high: 88 in 1928). Winds: SW 15-25 MPH with higher gusts. Chance of measurable rainfall: 0%.
Confidence Level (medium): "Extra Bugs Will Come from Every House on My Block to Make a Cloud Around My Head"
Saturday Night: Partly clear, windy, and warmer. Perhaps some noticeable humidity. Low: between 60 and 65. (record warm low: 62 in 1997) Winds: SW 10-20 MPH. Chance of measurable rainfall: 10%.
Confidence Level (low): "Enough Bugs Will Fly into My Mouth to Throw Off My Diet"
Sunday 10/11/2026: Mixed sun and clouds, windy, and still warm. A slight chance for a shower. High: between 73 and 78 (record warm high: 83 in 2015). Winds: SW 15-25 MPH with higher gusts. Chance of measurable rainfall: 20%.
Extended: Major cool down potential Sunday? Monday?? Significant (cold) rain potential Monday???Tuesday??? Uncertain how cool it will be during the middle of next week or how long it will last....
Forecast Confidence (10 – "The Rabbits Will Thump Even Though I Fed Them"; 0 – "The Rabbits Will Offer To Groom My Bald Spot"): 9 Wednesday, 8 Wednesday night and Thursday, 6 Thursday night through Saturday, 5 Saturday night, 2 Sunday, 0 Beyond Sunday.
Yesterday's High: 81°F; Overnight Low (through 2 AM Wednesday): 56°F;
St. Cloud Airport last 24-Hour Precipitation (through 2 AM Wednesday): None; SCSU 24-Hour Precipitation (through 2 AM Wednesday): None
| Temperature Category | High | Low |
|---|---|---|
| 60°F | 40°F | |
| 86°F (2003) |
63°F (2011) | |
| 42°F (1977) | 19°F (1976) |
Next Update: Thursday, October 8, 2026 6 AM
Links
- Full UCAR surface chart menu
- NWS Minnesota Hourly Weather Round-Up
- NWS: Last 72 hours of St. Cloud Observations
- MesoWest: Last 24 hours of St. Cloud Observations
- Full NWS Aviation Center Zoom-In Map
- Full College of DuPage surface map menu
- NWS WPC Latest North American zoom-in surface map
- NWS WPC surface map menu
- NWS WPC Short-Range forecast map
- NWS WPC 0-7 day forecast map loop
- US Air and Sports Net MN Wind Chill map
- NWS NOHRSC Snow Analyses
- US Watch/Warning Map from National Weather Service
- NWS Twin Cities Regional watch warning map
- Today's NWS Storm Prediction Center severe weather outlook
- Active Tropical Cyclones in eastern Pacific and Atlantic from NWS Tropical Prediction Center
- Potential Flooding Areas from the NWS Weather Prediction Center
- Air Quality Index from the Minnesota Pollution Control Agency
- NWS Weather Safety Page
- CDC Natural Disaster and Severe Weather Safety
- NWS Hot Weather and Sun/Ultraviolet Safety
- NWS Winter Storm Safety
- NWS Cold Weather Safety
- Yesterday's Storm Prediction Center severe weather reports are here
- NWS Hurricane Safety Page
- NWS Tropical Prediction Center overview of storm surge (coastal flooding)
- Minnesota MPCA hourly Air Quality Index
- Minnesota DNR Wildfire danger
- US Average Weather Related Deaths from NWS
- College of DuPage radar
- Airline Flight Delays and Cancellations from FlightAware.com
- Yesterday's Saint Cloud Climate Summary
- St. Cloud Weather Summaries by month
- Minnesota State Climatology Office weekly growing season rainfall maps
- Minnesota State Climatology Office create your own precipitation table
- NWS Create Your Own Rainfall Map
- Daily High/Low/Precip/Snowfall by Month (1997-current)
- National Weather Service Saint Cloud Daily Weather Site
- Saint Cloud Daily Normals, Records, and Extremes
- Bob Weisman's Ultimate Saint Cloud Climate Page
- St. Cloud Growing Season Rainfall and Departure from normal (at the bottom of this forecast each day)
- National Drought Mitigation Center's US Drought Monitor (updated on Thursdays)
- DNR Waters Streamflow Report (updated on Mondays)
- NWS Create Your Own Rainfall Map
- More Drought Links (from the State Climatology Office, Minnesota DNR)
- DNR Forestry/Fire Conditions page
Comments
Let me know what you think about this forecast and discussion by emailing SCSU meteorology professor Bob Weisman. Please note that I make the forecast, not the weather!