Wednesday, November 12, 2025  2:00 AM 

Prepared by Bob Weisman, SCSU Meteorologist and Professor Emeritus

Warmer Air to Last into Saturday

As the storm pulling the cold air into Minnesota departed past New England (see College of DuPage North America mid-level water vapor loop), dumping snow in Vermont and New York (see NWS local snowfall reports), the western high pressure area (clockwise circulation on the College of DuPage North America clean infrared satellite loop), brought in some of the air that was warmed by its trip down the Canadian Rockies. This warmer air and the sunshine produced widespread highs in the 50's in central and southern Minnesota (see NWS WPC 3 PM Tuesday North American zoom-in map), even warmer than I had expected.

The warmer flow pattern will continue through Saturday. Highs will be near 50 today, in the upper 40's to near 50 tomorrow, and near or even above 60 on Friday. While we will have a stiff northwest wind today, winds will strengthen out of the southeast on Friday and remain strong Friday night, so low temperatures will remain in the 40's.

A cold front is due to pass early on Saturday. That will be our only shot at rain showers and it won't be a good chance (1 in 5; see lack of precipitation forecast on the NWS WPC quantitative precipitation forecast). Temperatures will begin Saturday in the 50's, but will fall back through the 40's the rest of the day. It will be yet another windy day, this time from the northwest. On Sunday, we will return to more seasonable highs in the 40's.

The weather pattern beyond Sunday is still quite uncertain, but the pattern of dual storm tracks across southern Canada and the US doesn't raise the chances for significant precipitation early next week.

Detailed St. Cloud, MN, and Vicinity Forecast

Confidence Level: "The Bugs Are Waiting for Me to Mow the Lawn"

Wednesday 11/12/2025: Sunshine through some high clouds, continued breezy, and seasonably warm. High: between 47 and 52. Winds: NW 10-20 MPH. Wind chill: in the 20's and the 30's during the morning. Chance of measurable rainfall: 10%.

Wednesday Night: Partly clear with lighter winds and a bit colder. Low: between 28 and 33. Winds: NW 5 MPH, becoming SW late. Wind chill: between 18 and 25. Chance of measurable snowfall: 10%.

Thursday 11/13/2025: Partly to mostly cloudy and not as breezy with slightly cooler temperatures. High: between 45 and 50. Winds: S-SE 5-10 MPH. Chance of measurable rainfall: 10%.

Thursday Night: Partly cloudy, light winds, and a bit milder. Low: between 32 and 37. Winds: SE 5 MPH. Wind chill: between 27 and 32. Chance of measurable snowfall: 10%.

Friday 11/14/2025: Sunshine through high clouds and windy with a return to mid-October temperatures. High: between 58 and 64. Winds: SE 8-15 MPH. Morning wind chill: between 28 and 35. Chance of measurable rainfall: 10%.

Friday Night: Mostly cloudy, breezy, and milder. A slight chance for a rain shower. Low: between 47 and 52. Winds: SE-S 8-15 MPH, becoming NW 10-25 MPH with higher gusts late at night. Chance of measurable rainfall: 20%.

Confidence Level: "Extra Bugs Will Come From Every Home on the Block to Hover Around My Head"

Saturday 11/15/2025: Cloudy with perhaps a sprinkle early, then becoming sunny, blustery, and turning colder. High: between 50 and 55 in the morning, falling through the 40's during the afternoon. Winds: NW 15-30 MPH with higher gusts. Chance of measurable rainfall: 20%.

Confidence Level: "Enough Bugs Will Fly into My Mouth to Throw Off My Diet

Saturday Night: Mostly clear, windy, and colder. Low: between 28 and 33. Winds: NW 10-20 MPH. Wind chill: between 18 and 25. Chance of measurable rainfall: 10%.

Sunday 11/16/2025: Sunshine through high clouds, breezy, and seasonably cold. High: between 42 and 47. Winds: NW 8-15 MPH. Chance of measurable rainfall: 10%.

Extended: Uncertain beyond Sunday...

Forecast Confidence (10 - "The Rabbits Will Thump Even Though I Fed Them"; 0 - "The Rabbits Will Offer To Groom My Bald Spot"): 8 Wednesday and Thursday, 7 Thursday night, 6 Friday and Friday night, 4 Saturday, 3 Saturday night and Sunday.

Yesterday's High: 53°F; Overnight Low (through 2 AM Wednesday): 38°F
St. Cloud Airport 24-Hour Melted Precipitation (through 2 AM Wednesday): None; SCSU 24-Hour Precipitation (through 2 AM Wednesday): None

Next Update: Thursday, November 13, 2025 6 AM

Let me know what you think about this forecast and discussion by emailing SCSU meteorology professor Bob Weisman. Please note that I make the forecast, not the weather!

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