Local Forecast


Sunday, June 26, 2016 6:12 AM
Prepared by Bob Weisman
Professor of Earth and Atmospheric Sciences
Saint Cloud State University
Earth and Atmospheric Sciences Department
Saint Cloud and Vicinity Forecast

Synopsis:

Natural Air Conditioning for Next 5 Days

Discussion Links Forecast

Storms Hit Hardest North and East of St. Cloud

The wave of afternoon storms produced a number of wind damage reports. So many trees were down in Isanti and Cambridge that power was knocked out. Other damage occurred to the east of Sartell, Little Falls, Elk River, and Findlayson. There was also torrential rain. At Aitkin Airport, 3.10 inches of rain fell, 2.69 inches in one hour. The storms hit St. Cloud Regional Airport around 5 PM producing wind gusts up to 50 MPH at 4:52 PM and 0.34 inch of rain. (see NWS: Last 72 hours of St. Cloud Observations).

The cold front is now through all of Minnesota (see NWS WPC Latest North American zoom-in surface map). Skies have cleared in all but southeastern Minnesota (see College of DuPage Satellite and Radar Menu) and you can feel the difference. Instead of temperatures as high as 93 degrees in St. Cloud (see 3-day loop of high temperatures from NWS/University at Albany) with mid-70's dew points, producing heat indices as high as 103, dew points have now fallen back into the 50's and even upper 40's (see hourly UCAR dew point chart). Temperatures are still fairly warm, in the low to middle 60's (see UCAR Minnesota surface chart loop), but that's still 5-10 degrees cooler than they were yesterday morning.

Weather Returns to Pleasant (Even Cool) Through Work Week

As promised, today begins our streak of much more comfortable and even cool (for late June) weather, which will dominate through the end of the work week. apidly improve Saturday night, setting us up for seasonably cool and dry weather from Sunday well into next week. The upper-level low pressure system will be cruising by on Monday, so we could have more afternoon clouds and a chance of a sprinkle. However, we will tend to be drier with a good supply of sunshine Sunday, Tuesday, and Wednesday. Highs will be a bit cooler as air from south central Canada gets pumped into the Northern Plains. Highs could break 80 degrees again tomorrow, but cool into the 60's on Monday before rebounding to the 70's Tuesday and Wednesday. Overnight lows will be in the 50's with even 40's possible Tuesday and Wednesday morning. There will be a strong west to northwest wind Sunday and Monday.

Discussion Links Forecast

Forecast:

Confidence Level: "I Will Still Have Dandruff Tomorrow"

Sunday 6/26: Sunny, windy, and not as warm, plus much drier. High: between 80 and 85. Winds: W 15-25 MPH with higher gusts. Chance of measurable rainfall: 10%.

Sunday Night: Clear, still breezy, cooler, and drier. Low: between 48 and 54. Winds: NW 8-15 MPH. Chance of measurable rainfall: 10%.

Monday 6/27: Sunny in the morning, mixed clouds and sun in the afternoon, breezy, and even cooler. A slight chance of a sprinkle. High: between 64 and 68. Winds: NW 10-25 MPH. Chance of measurable rainfall: 20%.

Monday Night: Clear with diminishing wind and much cooler. Low: between 45 and 50. Winds: NW 5-10 MPH. Chance of measurable rainfall: 10%.

Tuesday 6/28: Sunny, light winds, and still a shade cool for late June. High: between 74 and 78. Winds: SW 5-15 MPH. Chance of measurable rainfall: 10%.

Tuesday Night: Clear, calm, and cool. Low: between 48 and 53. Winds: SW 5-10 MPH. Chance of measurable rainfall: 10%.


Confidence Level: "A Squirrel Will Squawk At Me" (they really hate me...)

Wednesday 6/29: Sunny in the morning, partly sunny in the afternoon, a shade warmer, and noticeably humid. A slight chance of a late day shower. High: between 77 and 82. Winds: SW 8-15 MPH. Chance of measurable rainfall: 20%.

Wednesday Night: Cloudy with a chance of a shower or thunderstorm. Low: between 58 and 63. Winds: SW 5-10 MPH, shifting to NW late. Chance of measurable rainfall: 30%.

Thursday 6/30: Becoming sunny, breezy, seasonably cool, and dry again. High: between 77 and 82. Winds: NW 8-15 MPH. Chance of measurable rainfall: 20%.


Confidence Level: "The Cat Will Not Sit on My Grading"

Extended: Temperatures continuing to be average to cooler than average through late next week.

Forecast Confidence (10 - "Know what gas will cost next week, Bob?"; 0 - "Been a victim of road rage lately, Bob?"): 8 Sunday and Sunday night, 7 Monday and Monday night, 6 Tuesday and Tuesday night, 5 Wednesday, 4 Wednesday night and Thursday.

Yesterday's High: 93F (heat index 103); Overnight Low (through 6 AM): 61F
St. Cloud Airport Precipitation (through 6 AM Sunday): 0.34 inch; SCSU Precipitation (through 6 AM Sunday): 0.23 inch

Normal Temperatures for June 26 - High: 80F; Low: 56F
Next Update: Monday, June 27, 2016 8:00 AM (or as needed)

Discussion Links Forecast

Links:

Surface

Satellite

Discussion Links Forecast

Radar

Current Watches/Warnings

Ground and Air Travel

Climate

Drought

Let me know what you think about this forecast and discussion by emailing SCSU meteorology professor Bob Weisman. Please note that I make the forecast, not the weather!

Are you interested in studying meteorology? If so, go to the Earth and Atmospheric Sciences Department home page.

Discussion Links Forecast