Weather

St. Cloud, MN Weather Forecast

Friday, May 22, 2026 1:55 AM 

Prepared by Bob Weisman, SCSU Meteorologist and Professor Emeritus

Memorial Day Weekend Forecast Update

The updated forecast has only some minor changes during the upcoming Memorial Day weekend:

  • Elevated fire danger in parts of northern and central Minnesota today
  • Showers and perhaps a thunderstorm from this afternoon through Friday night, but lingering showers towards Saturday morning in northern Minnesota. A chance for significant rainfall (see Day 1 of NWS WPC quantitative precipitation forecast).
  • Only a chance of a widely scattered thunderstorm Sunday night into early Monday
  • Highs 60's today, approaching 70 Saturday, near 80 Sunday, and into the 80's Monday through the middle of next week 
  • Becoming uncomfortably humid by Sunday. Dense fog possible early mornings next week.
  • Uncertain, but small chances for showers and thunderstorms during the middle and end of next week 
  • (see Days 4-7 of NWS WPC quantitative precipitation forecast).

In Your Outdoor Weekend Activities, Make Sure to...

So, the usual safety issues for your outdoor weekend plans will be:

  • make sure your campfires are completely put out.
  • watch for some cold water in streams and lakes up north
  • have some protection from potential rain, especially Friday night and Saturday.
  • make sure to watch the number of hours you are out in the sun Sunday and Monday and use plenty of sun block (many of us could go from white skin directly to red if we overexpose)

Remember Why We Celebrate Memorial Day

And, take a bit of time to honor the sacrifice of those who have served our country

Detailed St. Cloud, MN, and Vicinity Forecast


Confidence Level (high): "The Bugs Are Waiting for Me to Mow the Lawn"      

Friday 5/22/2026: Lots of clouds with perhaps a morning sprinkle. Afternoon showers likely. Maybe even a thunderstorm. Breezier with elevated fire danger. High: between 58 and 63. Winds: SE 10-20 MPH. Chance of measurable rainfall: 30% during the morning, 80% during the afternoon.

Friday Night: Cloudy with evening showers likely, then perhaps only a late night sprinkle. Breezy, and a bit milder. Low: between 50 and 55. Winds: SE 10-20 MPH, shifting to S late. Chance of measurable rainfall: 80% evening, 40% after midnight. 

Saturday 5/23/2026: Mixed clouds and sun and a bit warmer. High: between 65 and 70. Winds: SW 8-15 MPH. Chance of measurable rainfall: 10%.

Saturday Night: Partly cloudy with a chance for areas of dense fog. Low: between 48 and 53. Winds: light NW. Chance of measurable rainfall: 10%.  

Sunday 5/24/2026: Some early clouds and fog, then becoming partly sunny with finally May-like temperatures. Still noticeably humid with a slight chance of a shower. High: between 77 and 83. Winds: SW 8-15 MPH. Chance of measurable rainfall: 20%.


Confidence Level (medium): "Extra Bugs Will Come from Every House on My Block to Make a Cloud Around My Head"  

Sunday Night: Partly clear, breezy, and warmer. A chance for a scattered late night shower or thunderstorm. Noticeably humid. Low: between 55 and 60. Winds: S 5-10 MPH. Chance of measurable rainfall: 30%.  

Monday 5/25/2026: Maybe an early shower or thunderstorm. Otherwise, partly sunny and very warm with uncomfortable humidity. High: between 80 and 85. Winds: S-SE 5-15 MPH. Chance of measurable rainfall: 20%.

Monday Night: Partly clear and continued warm. Perhaps some late night fog. Noticeably humid. Low: between 55 and 60. Winds: S 5-10 MPH. Chance of measurable rainfall: 10%.  

Tuesday 5/26/2026: Mixed clouds and sun, continued very warm, and noticeable to uncomfortable humidity. High: between 82 and 87. Winds: SE 5-15 MPH. Chance of measurable rainfall: 20%.


Confidence Level (low): "Enough Bugs Will Fly into My Mouth to Throw Off My Diet"      

Extended: Heat and noticeable to uncomfortable humidity continues at least into late week??? Better chance for scattered showers and thunderstorms by mid-week??? 

Forecast Confidence (10 – "The Rabbits Will Thump Even Though I Fed Them"; 0 – "The Rabbits Will Offer To Groom My Bald Spot"): 7 Friday and Saturday, 8 Saturday night and Sunday, 5 Sunday night through Tuesday.                  

Yesterday's High: 67°F; Overnight Low (through 1 AM Friday): 51°F; 

St. Cloud Airport last 24-Hour Precipitation (through 1 AM Friday): None; SCSU 24-Hour Precipitation (through 1 AM Friday): None

May 22 Historic Data
Temperature Category High Low

Average Temperatures

71°F 48°F

Record Temperatures

94°F (1964) 69°F (1964,1991)
47°F (2001) 28°F (1963)

Next Update: Monday, May 25, 2026 6 AM

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Comments

Let me know what you think about this forecast and discussion by emailing SCSU meteorology professor Bob Weisman. Please note that I make the forecast, not the weather!

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